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Here's Why We're Not Too Worried About Elife Holdings' (HKG:223) Cash Burn Situation
Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, although Amazon.com made losses for many years after listing, if you had bought and held the shares since 1999, you would have made a fortune. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
So, the natural question for Elife Holdings (HKG:223) shareholders is whether they should be concerned by its rate of cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. The first step is to compare its cash burn with its cash reserves, to give us its 'cash runway'.
Check out our latest analysis for Elife Holdings
When Might Elife Holdings Run Out Of Money?
A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. In September 2020, Elife Holdings had HK$15m in cash, and was debt-free. Importantly, its cash burn was HK$20m over the trailing twelve months. Therefore, from September 2020 it had roughly 9 months of cash runway. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Well Is Elife Holdings Growing?
We reckon the fact that Elife Holdings managed to shrink its cash burn by 24% over the last year is rather encouraging. Having said that, the revenue growth of 80% was considerably more inspiring. We think it is growing rather well, upon reflection. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Elife Holdings is growing revenue over time by checking this visualization of past revenue growth.
Can Elife Holdings Raise More Cash Easily?
Even though it seems like Elife Holdings is developing its business nicely, we still like to consider how easily it could raise more money to accelerate growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Elife Holdings has a market capitalisation of HK$183m and burnt through HK$20m last year, which is 11% of the company's market value. As a result, we'd venture that the company could raise more cash for growth without much trouble, albeit at the cost of some dilution.
So, Should We Worry About Elife Holdings' Cash Burn?
On this analysis of Elife Holdings' cash burn, we think its revenue growth was reassuring, while its cash runway has us a bit worried. While we're the kind of investors who are always a bit concerned about the risks involved with cash burning companies, the metrics we have discussed in this article leave us relatively comfortable about Elife Holdings' situation. On another note, Elife Holdings has 6 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
If you would prefer to check out another company with better fundamentals, then do not miss this free list of interesting companies, that have HIGH return on equity and low debt or this list of stocks which are all forecast to grow.
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About SEHK:223
Elife Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the supply chain business for branded goods and consumer products in Hong Kong and the People’s Republic of China.
Flawless balance sheet slight.