Stock Analysis

Is Zall Smart Commerce Group (HKG:2098) Using Debt Sensibly?

SEHK:2098
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Zall Smart Commerce Group Ltd. (HKG:2098) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Zall Smart Commerce Group

What Is Zall Smart Commerce Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Zall Smart Commerce Group had CN¥15.9b of debt in June 2023, down from CN¥17.5b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.79b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥14.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:2098 Debt to Equity History October 26th 2023

How Strong Is Zall Smart Commerce Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zall Smart Commerce Group had liabilities of CN¥37.2b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥8.68b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.79b and CN¥10.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥34.0b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥3.71b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Zall Smart Commerce Group would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Zall Smart Commerce Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Zall Smart Commerce Group reported revenue of CN¥116b, which is a gain of 11%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Zall Smart Commerce Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥78m. Reflecting on this and the significant total liabilities, it's hard to know what to say about the stock because of our intense dis-affinity for it. Like every long-shot we're sure it has a glossy presentation outlining its blue-sky potential. But the reality is that it is low on liquid assets relative to liabilities, and it lost CN¥3.0b in the last year. So we think buying this stock is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Zall Smart Commerce Group that you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Zall Smart Commerce Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.