Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Million Hope Industries Holdings Limited (HKG:1897) Is Unlikely

SEHK:1897
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With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 8x in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Million Hope Industries Holdings Limited's (HKG:1897) P/E ratio of 6.5x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

For instance, Million Hope Industries Holdings' receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the HK Building industry.

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SEHK:1897 Price Based on Past Earnings November 9th 2022
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Million Hope Industries Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Million Hope Industries Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 35% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 94% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Million Hope Industries Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Million Hope Industries Holdings' P/E?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Million Hope Industries Holdings revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Million Hope Industries Holdings (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20x).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.