Stock Analysis

Huayu Expressway Group (HKG:1823) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

SEHK:1823
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. So when we looked at Huayu Expressway Group (HKG:1823) and its trend of ROCE, we really liked what we saw.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Huayu Expressway Group, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.085 = CN¥68m ÷ (CN¥2.0b - CN¥1.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2022).

Therefore, Huayu Expressway Group has an ROCE of 8.5%. In absolute terms, that's a low return, but it's much better than the Construction industry average of 6.9%.

Check out our latest analysis for Huayu Expressway Group

roce
SEHK:1823 Return on Capital Employed June 7th 2023

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Huayu Expressway Group's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Huayu Expressway Group has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

SWOT Analysis for Huayu Expressway Group

Strength
  • Debt is not viewed as a risk.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Construction market.
Opportunity
  • Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
  • Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine 1823's earnings prospects.
Threat
  • No apparent threats visible for 1823.

The Trend Of ROCE

We're pretty happy with how the ROCE has been trending at Huayu Expressway Group. The figures show that over the last five years, returns on capital have grown by 45%. That's a very favorable trend because this means that the company is earning more per dollar of capital that's being employed. Interestingly, the business may be becoming more efficient because it's applying 31% less capital than it was five years ago. A business that's shrinking its asset base like this isn't usually typical of a soon to be multi-bagger company.

On a side note, we noticed that the improvement in ROCE appears to be partly fueled by an increase in current liabilities. The current liabilities has increased to 59% of total assets, so the business is now more funded by the likes of its suppliers or short-term creditors. And with current liabilities at those levels, that's pretty high.

The Bottom Line On Huayu Expressway Group's ROCE

In the end, Huayu Expressway Group has proven it's capital allocation skills are good with those higher returns from less amount of capital. And with the stock having performed exceptionally well over the last five years, these patterns are being accounted for by investors. So given the stock has proven it has promising trends, it's worth researching the company further to see if these trends are likely to persist.

If you'd like to know about the risks facing Huayu Expressway Group, we've discovered 3 warning signs that you should be aware of.

While Huayu Expressway Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Huayu Expressway Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.