Stock Analysis

Is Wenye Group Holdings (HKG:1802) Using Too Much Debt?

SEHK:1802
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Wenye Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1802) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Wenye Group Holdings

What Is Wenye Group Holdings's Debt?

As you can see below, Wenye Group Holdings had CN¥181.4m of debt at June 2021, down from CN¥224.2m a year prior. However, it also had CN¥83.0m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥98.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1802 Debt to Equity History November 15th 2021

How Strong Is Wenye Group Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Wenye Group Holdings had liabilities of CN¥1.24b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥13.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥83.0m in cash and CN¥1.67b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥500.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Wenye Group Holdings' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. On this view, lenders should feel as safe as the beloved of a black-belt karate master.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt sitting at just 0.91 times EBITDA, Wenye Group Holdings is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 7.5 times the interest expense over the last year. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Wenye Group Holdings turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥104m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Wenye Group Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. During the last year, Wenye Group Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 94% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Wenye Group Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And the good news does not stop there, as its level of total liabilities also supports that impression! It looks Wenye Group Holdings has no trouble standing on its own two feet, and it has no reason to fear its lenders. To our minds it has a healthy happy balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Wenye Group Holdings (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wenye Group Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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