Wecon Holdings Limited (HKG:1793) has announced that it will pay a dividend of HK$0.012 per share on the 2nd of September. This means the annual payment is 7.9% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
See our latest analysis for Wecon Holdings
Wecon Holdings Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning
Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 159% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only . Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.
If the company can't turn things around, EPS could fall by 34.1% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 224%, which could put the dividend in jeopardy if the company's earnings don't improve.
Wecon Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency
Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. Due to this, we are a little bit cautious about the dividend consistency over a full economic cycle. The annual payment during the last 5 years was HK$0.014 in 2019, and the most recent fiscal year payment was HK$0.012. This works out to be a decline of approximately 3.0% per year over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Wecon Holdings' earnings per share has shrunk at 34% a year over the past five years. This steep decline can indicate that the business is going through a tough time, which could constrain its ability to pay a larger dividend each year in the future.
The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Wecon Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us. Is Wecon Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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About SEHK:1793
Wecon Holdings
An investment holding company, operates as a construction contractor in Hong Kong.
Flawless balance sheet slight.