Stock Analysis

Capital Allocation Trends At Wecon Holdings (HKG:1793) Aren't Ideal

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SEHK:1793

To avoid investing in a business that's in decline, there's a few financial metrics that can provide early indications of aging. Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. So after glancing at the trends within Wecon Holdings (HKG:1793), we weren't too hopeful.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Wecon Holdings:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.01 = HK$2.9m ÷ (HK$594m - HK$312m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

Thus, Wecon Holdings has an ROCE of 1.0%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Construction industry average of 5.8%.

See our latest analysis for Wecon Holdings

SEHK:1793 Return on Capital Employed October 25th 2024

Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for Wecon Holdings' ROCE against it's prior returns. If you'd like to look at how Wecon Holdings has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Wecon Holdings' past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

In terms of Wecon Holdings' historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. About five years ago, returns on capital were 18%, however they're now substantially lower than that as we saw above. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. If these trends continue, we wouldn't expect Wecon Holdings to turn into a multi-bagger.

On a separate but related note, it's important to know that Wecon Holdings has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 52%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.

The Key Takeaway

In summary, it's unfortunate that Wecon Holdings is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. It should come as no surprise then that the stock has fallen 35% over the last five years, so it looks like investors are recognizing these changes. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.

If you'd like to know more about Wecon Holdings, we've spotted 4 warning signs, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wecon Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.