Envision Greenwise Holdings Limited's (HKG:1783) 32% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Envision Greenwise Holdings Limited (HKG:1783) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 90%.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Envision Greenwise Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 25.7x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Construction industry have P/S ratios below 0.3x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Envision Greenwise Holdings
What Does Envision Greenwise Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Envision Greenwise Holdings over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Envision Greenwise Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Envision Greenwise Holdings?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Envision Greenwise Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 32% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 8.9% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that Envision Greenwise Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to Envision Greenwise Holdings' P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our look into Envision Greenwise Holdings has shown that it currently trades on a higher than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Having said that, be aware Envision Greenwise Holdings is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Envision Greenwise Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.