Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Shuang Yun Holdings Limited (HKG:1706) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Shuang Yun Holdings
What Is Shuang Yun Holdings's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Shuang Yun Holdings had S$63.3m of debt, an increase on S$59.0m, over one year. On the flip side, it has S$2.58m in cash leading to net debt of about S$60.7m.
How Healthy Is Shuang Yun Holdings' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shuang Yun Holdings had liabilities of S$78.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of S$16.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of S$2.58m as well as receivables valued at S$129.1m due within 12 months. So it can boast S$36.6m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This excess liquidity is a great indication that Shuang Yun Holdings' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. With this in mind one could posit that its balance sheet means the company is able to handle some adversity.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Shuang Yun Holdings shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (8.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.4 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Looking on the bright side, Shuang Yun Holdings boosted its EBIT by a silky 42% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shuang Yun Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Shuang Yun Holdings burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
Shuang Yun Holdings's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Shuang Yun Holdings can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 5 warning signs with Shuang Yun Holdings (at least 3 which don't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1706
Shuang Yun Holdings
Shuang Yun Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides road construction and construction ancillary services in Singapore.
Imperfect balance sheet with weak fundamentals.