Stock Analysis

Take Care Before Diving Into The Deep End On Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. (HKG:1618)

SEHK:1618
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When close to half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may consider Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd. (HKG:1618) as an attractive investment with its 5.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Metallurgical Corporation of China's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Metallurgical Corporation of China

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1618 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 3rd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Metallurgical Corporation of China will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Metallurgical Corporation of China's Growth Trending?

Metallurgical Corporation of China's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 37%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 10% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the ten analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 20% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 16% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Metallurgical Corporation of China's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Metallurgical Corporation of China's P/E?

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Metallurgical Corporation of China's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Metallurgical Corporation of China you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Metallurgical Corporation of China. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Metallurgical Corporation of China is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.