Stock Analysis

We Think Kwan On Holdings (HKG:1559) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

SEHK:1559
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Kwan On Holdings Limited (HKG:1559) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Kwan On Holdings

How Much Debt Does Kwan On Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, Kwan On Holdings had HK$170.0m of debt at March 2023, down from HK$235.8m a year prior. On the flip side, it has HK$47.6m in cash leading to net debt of about HK$122.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SEHK:1559 Debt to Equity History July 14th 2023

A Look At Kwan On Holdings' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Kwan On Holdings had liabilities of HK$488.9m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$26.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had HK$47.6m in cash and HK$463.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

Having regard to Kwan On Holdings' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the HK$196.3m company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Kwan On Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Over 12 months, Kwan On Holdings reported revenue of HK$624m, which is a gain of 21%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.

Caveat Emptor

While we can certainly appreciate Kwan On Holdings's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost a very considerable HK$108m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of HK$112m. So to be blunt we do think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Kwan On Holdings (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.