Stock Analysis

Grand Ming Group Holdings' (HKG:1271) Dividend Will Be Increased To HK$0.06

Grand Ming Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1271) has announced that it will be increasing its periodic dividend on the 15th of December to HK$0.06, which will be 50% higher than last year's comparable payment amount of HK$0.04. This makes the dividend yield about the same as the industry average at 6.7%.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Grand Ming Group Holdings' stock price has reduced by 40% in the last 3 months, which is not ideal for investors and can explain a sharp increase in the dividend yield.

Check out our latest analysis for Grand Ming Group Holdings

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Grand Ming Group Holdings' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

While it is always good to see a solid dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is feasible. Prior to this announcement, Grand Ming Group Holdings' earnings easily covered the dividend, but free cash flows were negative. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 55.6% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 23%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
SEHK:1271 Historic Dividend November 16th 2022

Grand Ming Group Holdings' Dividend Has Lacked Consistency

Even in its relatively short history, the company has reduced the dividend at least once. This makes us cautious about the consistency of the dividend over a full economic cycle. Since 2013, the dividend has gone from HK$0.0203 total annually to HK$0.28. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 34% over that duration. It is great to see strong growth in the dividend payments, but cuts are concerning as it may indicate the payout policy is too ambitious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Grand Ming Group Holdings has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 56% per annum. Earnings per share is growing at a solid clip, and the payout ratio is low which we think is an ideal combination in a dividend stock as the company can quite easily raise the dividend in the future.

Our Thoughts On Grand Ming Group Holdings' Dividend

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Grand Ming Group Holdings' payments are rock solid. While Grand Ming Group Holdings is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Grand Ming Group Holdings (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about. Is Grand Ming Group Holdings not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SEHK:1271

Grand Ming Group Holdings

Operates as a building construction company in Hong Kong.

Slightly overvalued with very low risk.

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