Stock Analysis
- Hong Kong
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- Construction
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- SEHK:1271
Earnings growth of 5.5% over 3 years hasn't been enough to translate into positive returns for Grand Ming Group Holdings (HKG:1271) shareholders
If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Grand Ming Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1271) shareholders. So they might be feeling emotional about the 71% share price collapse, in that time. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 41% in the last year. Furthermore, it's down 24% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Grand Ming Group Holdings isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
See our latest analysis for Grand Ming Group Holdings
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
During five years of share price growth, Grand Ming Group Holdings moved from a loss to profitability. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.
Arguably the revenue decline of 25% per year has people thinking Grand Ming Group Holdings is shrinking. And that's not surprising, since it seems unlikely that EPS growth can continue for long in the absence of revenue growth.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Grand Ming Group Holdings' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Grand Ming Group Holdings' TSR, which was a 68% drop over the last 3 years, was not as bad as the share price return.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 27% in the last year, Grand Ming Group Holdings shareholders lost 41%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Grand Ming Group Holdings (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1271
Grand Ming Group Holdings
An investment holding company, engages in the building construction, property leasing, and property development businesses in Hong Kong.