Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Solartech International Holdings Limited (HKG:1166) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Solartech International Holdings
What Is Solartech International Holdings's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 Solartech International Holdings had HK$393.9m of debt, an increase on HK$185.4m, over one year. However, it also had HK$76.2m in cash, and so its net debt is HK$317.8m.
How Strong Is Solartech International Holdings' Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Solartech International Holdings had liabilities of HK$368.8m due within a year, and liabilities of HK$326.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of HK$76.2m as well as receivables valued at HK$338.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by HK$280.7m.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the HK$161.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, Solartech International Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Solartech International Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.2 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 23.3 times, makes us even more comfortable. Notably, Solartech International Holdings made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of HK$107m in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Solartech International Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Solartech International Holdings saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
To be frank both Solartech International Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Solartech International Holdings's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Solartech International Holdings you should know about.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SEHK:1166
Solartech International Holdings
An investment holding company, manufactures and trades in cables and wires primarily to the manufacturers of white goods appliances in the People’s Republic of China, the Americas, Europe, Hong Kong, Mongolia, and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.