Stock Analysis

Has Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application (HKG:1930) Got What It Takes To Become A Multi-Bagger?

SEHK:1930
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application (HKG:1930) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.16 = CN¥47m ÷ (CN¥465m - CN¥174m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

Therefore, Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application has an ROCE of 16%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 9.5% generated by the Auto Components industry.

See our latest analysis for Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application

roce
SEHK:1930 Return on Capital Employed December 7th 2020

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you're interested in investigating Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application's past further, check out this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Can We Tell From Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application's ROCE Trend?

When we looked at the ROCE trend at Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application, we didn't gain much confidence. Around three years ago the returns on capital were 35%, but since then they've fallen to 16%. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.

On a related note, Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application has decreased its current liabilities to 37% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

The Key Takeaway

Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. And investors appear hesitant that the trends will pick up because the stock has fallen 47% in the last year. All in all, the inherent trends aren't typical of multi-baggers, so if that's what you're after, we think you might have more luck elsewhere.

If you'd like to know more about Shinelong Automotive Lightweight Application, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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