Stock Analysis

We Think Foodlink A.E (ATH:FOODL) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

ATSE:FOODL
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Foodlink A.E. (ATH:FOODL) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Foodlink A.E

What Is Foodlink A.E's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Foodlink A.E had €11.7m of debt, up from €5.85m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have €5.08m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €6.64m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:FOODL Debt to Equity History May 9th 2021

How Strong Is Foodlink A.E's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Foodlink A.E had liabilities of €30.3m due within a year, and liabilities of €17.4m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €5.08m in cash and €13.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €29.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €17.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Foodlink A.E would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Foodlink A.E has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 0.44 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. Notably, Foodlink A.E made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of €470k in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Foodlink A.E will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Foodlink A.E actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

On the face of it, Foodlink A.E's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Foodlink A.E stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Foodlink A.E has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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