Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hellenic Telecommunications Organization (ATH:HTO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

ATSE:HTO
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A. (ATH:HTO) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization

What Is Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization had €1.34b of debt in June 2021, down from €1.99b, one year before. On the flip side, it has €891.7m in cash leading to net debt of about €445.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:HTO Debt to Equity History September 14th 2021

How Healthy Is Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization had liabilities of €2.32b due within 12 months and liabilities of €1.82b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €891.7m in cash and €497.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by €2.76b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Hellenic Telecommunications Organization is worth €7.37b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.36. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 14.7 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On the other hand, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's EBIT dived 12%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 98% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its EBIT growth rate has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ATSE:HTO

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A.

Outstanding track record, undervalued and pays a dividend.

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