Stock Analysis

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization (ATH:HTO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

ATSE:HTO
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A. (ATH:HTO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization

What Is Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization had €1.35b of debt in September 2020, down from €2.07b, one year before. On the flip side, it has €699.5m in cash leading to net debt of about €648.5m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:HTO Debt to Equity History February 23rd 2021

How Healthy Is Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hellenic Telecommunications Organization had liabilities of €2.02b due within a year, and liabilities of €1.67b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had €699.5m in cash and €644.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €2.34b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization has a market capitalization of €5.65b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With net debt sitting at just 0.49 times EBITDA, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 9.3 times the interest expense over the last year. On top of that, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization grew its EBIT by 34% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hellenic Telecommunications Organization can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 69% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Happily, Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's impressive EBIT growth rate implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its net debt to EBITDA is also very heartening. Looking at the bigger picture, we think Hellenic Telecommunications Organization's use of debt seems quite reasonable and we're not concerned about it. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hellenic Telecommunications Organization you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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