Stock Analysis

Ilyda SA's (ATH:ILYDA) P/E Is Still On The Mark Following 40% Share Price Bounce

ATSE:ILYDA
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The Ilyda SA (ATH:ILYDA) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 40%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 72% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Ilyda's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 23.4x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Greece, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 12x and even P/E's below 8x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Ilyda over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Ilyda

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ATSE:ILYDA Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 27th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ilyda's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Ilyda's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Ilyda would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 48%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 2,887% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 9.9% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why Ilyda is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Shares in Ilyda have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We've established that Ilyda maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 5 warning signs for Ilyda that you need to take into consideration.

You might be able to find a better investment than Ilyda. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ilyda is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.