Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Jumbo S.A. (ATH:BELA) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Our analysis indicates that BELA is potentially undervalued!
What Is Jumbo's Debt?
As you can see below, Jumbo had €199.9m of debt, at June 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have €711.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of €512.0m.
How Strong Is Jumbo's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jumbo had liabilities of €158.9m due within 12 months and liabilities of €297.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €711.9m in cash and €63.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast €318.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This surplus suggests that Jumbo is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, Jumbo boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Jumbo has boosted its EBIT by 53%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jumbo can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Jumbo may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Jumbo recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 90% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Jumbo has €512.0m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And it impressed us with free cash flow of €180m, being 90% of its EBIT. When it comes to Jumbo's debt, we sufficiently relaxed that our mind turns to the jacuzzi. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Jumbo (including 1 which doesn't sit too well with us) .
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ATSE:BELA
Jumbo
Engages in the retail sale of toys, baby products, gift articles, household products, stationery, seasonal and decoration items, books, and related products primarily in Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria, and Romania.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.
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