Jumbo S.A. (ATH:BELA), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the ATSE, rising to highs of €15.29 and falling to the lows of €13.26. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Jumbo's current trading price of €14.39 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Jumbo’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
Our analysis indicates that BELA is potentially undervalued!
Is Jumbo Still Cheap?
The stock is currently trading at €14.39 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 39% compared to my intrinsic value of €10.33. This means that the opportunity to buy Jumbo at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Jumbo’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What does the future of Jumbo look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. However, with a negative profit growth of -12% expected over the next couple of years, near-term growth certainly doesn’t appear to be a driver for a buy decision for Jumbo. This certainty tips the risk-return scale towards higher risk.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? If you believe BELA should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the uncertainty from negative growth in the future, this could be the right time to reduce your total portfolio risk. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on BELA for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?
In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, we've found that Jumbo has 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ATSE:BELA
Jumbo
Engages in the retail sale of toys, baby products, gift articles, household products, stationery, seasonal and decoration items, books, and related products in Greece, Cyprus, Bulgaria, and Romania.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.