The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, LAMDA Development S.A. (ATH:LAMDA) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for LAMDA Development
What Is LAMDA Development's Net Debt?
As you can see below, LAMDA Development had €1.18b of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have €376.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €806.8m.
A Look At LAMDA Development's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that LAMDA Development had liabilities of €1.07b due within 12 months and liabilities of €1.96b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €376.5m and €175.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €2.48b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the €1.26b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, LAMDA Development would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine LAMDA Development's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year LAMDA Development wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 144%, to €264m. So its pretty obvious shareholders are hoping for more growth!
Caveat Emptor
While we can certainly appreciate LAMDA Development's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at €1.7m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. But on the bright side the company actually produced a statutory profit of €18m and free cash flow of €131m. So there is definitely a chance that it can improve things in the next few years. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with LAMDA Development (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ATSE:LAMDA
LAMDA Development
Lamda Development S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in investment, development, and project management in commercial real estate market in Greece and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential low.