Stock Analysis

Thrace Plastics Holding (ATH:PLAT) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

ATSE:PLAT
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Thrace Plastics Holding Company S.A. (ATH:PLAT) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Thrace Plastics Holding

What Is Thrace Plastics Holding's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Thrace Plastics Holding had €56.9m of debt in March 2022, down from €67.5m, one year before. However, it also had €47.3m in cash, and so its net debt is €9.57m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:PLAT Debt to Equity History June 15th 2022

How Strong Is Thrace Plastics Holding's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Thrace Plastics Holding had liabilities of €111.0m due within 12 months and liabilities of €42.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €47.3m in cash and €90.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total €15.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Thrace Plastics Holding shares are worth a total of €160.2m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Thrace Plastics Holding has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.12. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 34.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In fact Thrace Plastics Holding's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 24% in the last twelve months. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Thrace Plastics Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Thrace Plastics Holding's free cash flow amounted to 49% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

Thrace Plastics Holding's EBIT growth rate was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that its ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT is pretty flash. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Thrace Plastics Holding is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Thrace Plastics Holding (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.