Stock Analysis

Kordellos Ch. Bros (ATH:KORDE) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

ATSE:KORDE
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Kordellos Ch. Bros S.A. (ATH:KORDE) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Kordellos Ch. Bros

How Much Debt Does Kordellos Ch. Bros Carry?

As you can see below, Kordellos Ch. Bros had €24.4m of debt at June 2023, down from €28.0m a year prior. However, it also had €4.28m in cash, and so its net debt is €20.2m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:KORDE Debt to Equity History October 10th 2023

How Strong Is Kordellos Ch. Bros' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Kordellos Ch. Bros had liabilities of €14.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of €25.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of €4.28m and €22.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling €12.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's €10.2m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.46 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 22.6 hit our confidence in Kordellos Ch. Bros like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Kordellos Ch. Bros saw its EBIT tank 93% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Kordellos Ch. Bros's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Kordellos Ch. Bros's free cash flow amounted to 28% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Kordellos Ch. Bros's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its level of total liabilities also fails to instill confidence. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Kordellos Ch. Bros has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Kordellos Ch. Bros (including 1 which is significant) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Kordellos Ch. Bros might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.