Stock Analysis

Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Akritas S.A.'s (ATH:AKRIT) Revenues Despite 97% Price Jump

ATSE:AKRIT
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Akritas S.A. (ATH:AKRIT) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 97% share price jump in the last month. The annual gain comes to 181% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Akritas' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Forestry industry in Greece, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Akritas

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ATSE:AKRIT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

How Has Akritas Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Akritas' financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling hopeful about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Akritas, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Akritas?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Akritas' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 73% in total over the last three years. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.

Weighing the recent medium-term upward revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for contraction of 5.3% shows it's a great look while it lasts.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Akritas' P/S matches its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Akritas appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Akritas revealed its growing revenue over the medium-term hasn't helped elevate its P/S above that of the industry, which is surprising given the industry is set to shrink. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from outpacing the industry much like its revenue performance. Without the guidance of analysts, perhaps shareholders are feeling uncertain over whether the revenue performance can continue amidst a declining industry outlook. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because this relative performance should normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Akritas (including 3 which make us uncomfortable).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Akritas is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.