Is Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange SA (ATH:EXAE) Potentially Undervalued?

Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange SA (ATH:EXAE), which is in the capital markets business, and is based in Greece, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the ATSE over the last few months, increasing to €4.67 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €3.78. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange’s current trading price of €3.99 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

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See our latest analysis for Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange

What’s the opportunity in Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange?

Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange is currently overpriced based on my relative valuation model. I’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 79.45x is currently well-above the industry average of 17.13x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

What does the future of Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange look like?

ATSE:EXAE Past and Future Earnings, May 21st 2019
ATSE:EXAE Past and Future Earnings, May 21st 2019

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange’s earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? EXAE’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe EXAE should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on EXAE for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for EXAE, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange. You can find everything you need to know about Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Hellenic Exchanges – Athens Stock Exchange, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.