Stock Analysis

Here's Why Elgeka (ATH:ELGEK) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

ATSE:ELGEK
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Elgeka S.A. (ATH:ELGEK) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Elgeka

What Is Elgeka's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Elgeka had €71.6m of debt, an increase on €65.9m, over one year. However, it does have €7.26m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about €64.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ATSE:ELGEK Debt to Equity History March 11th 2021

How Healthy Is Elgeka's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Elgeka had liabilities of €67.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of €83.5m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €7.26m in cash and €39.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €103.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit casts a shadow over the €8.57m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Elgeka would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Elgeka shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (7.2), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.0 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. The good news is that Elgeka grew its EBIT a smooth 39% over the last twelve months. Like the milk of human kindness that sort of growth increases resilience, making the company more capable of managing debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Elgeka will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Elgeka reported free cash flow worth 11% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

On the face of it, Elgeka's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Elgeka's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Elgeka .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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