Stock Analysis

Does United Utilities Group (LON:UU.) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

LSE:UU.
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that United Utilities Group PLC (LON:UU.) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for United Utilities Group

How Much Debt Does United Utilities Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that United Utilities Group had debt of UK£8.40b at the end of September 2021, a reduction from UK£8.89b over a year. However, it does have UK£655.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about UK£7.75b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:UU. Debt to Equity History December 29th 2021

How Strong Is United Utilities Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, United Utilities Group had liabilities of UK£1.06b due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£10.7b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£655.9m as well as receivables valued at UK£253.0m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£10.8b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's huge UK£7.45b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.3, it's fair to say United Utilities Group does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.9 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Even more troubling is the fact that United Utilities Group actually let its EBIT decrease by 6.1% over the last year. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine United Utilities Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, United Utilities Group recorded free cash flow of 28% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

On the face of it, United Utilities Group's level of total liabilities left us tentative about the stock, and its net debt to EBITDA was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. And furthermore, its EBIT growth rate also fails to instill confidence. It's also worth noting that United Utilities Group is in the Water Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, it seems to us that United Utilities Group's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for United Utilities Group you should be aware of, and 2 of them don't sit too well with us.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.