Stock Analysis

Pennon Group Plc's (LON:PNN) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

LSE:PNN
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When close to half the companies in the Water Utilities industry in the United Kingdom have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may consider Pennon Group Plc (LON:PNN) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Pennon Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:PNN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 29th 2023

How Has Pennon Group Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Pennon Group's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Pennon Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Pennon Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Pennon Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 35% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 9.9% each year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 7.0% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Pennon Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look into Pennon Group shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Having said that, be aware Pennon Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Pennon Group is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.