Drax Group plc

LSE:DRX Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£3.0b

Drax Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Drax Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 6.8% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 14.7% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 15.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.5% in 3 years.

Key information

14.7%

Earnings growth rate

15.93%

EPS growth rate

Renewable Energy earnings growth5.0%
Revenue growth rate-6.8%
Future return on equity12.51%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated24 Mar 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Are Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Jan 28
Are Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Investors Paying Above The Intrinsic Value?

Insufficient Growth At Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Hampers Share Price

Dec 25
Insufficient Growth At Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Hampers Share Price

Drax Group (LON:DRX) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

May 26
Drax Group (LON:DRX) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

Broker Revenue Forecasts For Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Are Surging Higher

Mar 13
Broker Revenue Forecasts For Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Are Surging Higher
User avatar

Investments In FlexGen And BECCS Will Impact Future Earnings, But Policy Risks Persist

Strategic investments in flexible generation and energy solutions are set to enhance post-2027 earnings and revenue through expanded capacity and efficiency.

Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£6.30?

Jan 20
Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£6.30?

Is Now The Time To Put Drax Group (LON:DRX) On Your Watchlist?

Dec 20
Is Now The Time To Put Drax Group (LON:DRX) On Your Watchlist?

Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Nov 20
Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Drax Group (LON:DRX) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Sep 24
Drax Group (LON:DRX) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

What Is Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Share Price Doing?

Aug 31
What Is Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Share Price Doing?

Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Surges 31% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

Jul 29
Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Surges 31% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement

What Does Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Share Price Indicate?

Apr 24
What Does Drax Group plc's (LON:DRX) Share Price Indicate?

Here's Why Drax Group (LON:DRX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Apr 09
Here's Why Drax Group (LON:DRX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Drax Group plc (LON:DRX)

Feb 07
Calculating The Intrinsic Value Of Drax Group plc (LON:DRX)

Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares

Dec 24
Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Doing What It Can To Lift Shares

Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Shares Could Be 23% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Oct 24
Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Shares Could Be 23% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£5.20?

Sep 20
Should You Investigate Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) At UK£5.20?

Here's Why Drax Group (LON:DRX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Aug 18
Here's Why Drax Group (LON:DRX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Outlook

Jul 30
Time To Worry? Analysts Just Downgraded Their Drax Group plc (LON:DRX) Outlook

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:DRX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20284,666206945116
12/31/20274,8441877148229
12/31/20265,3872642987428
12/31/20255,39173516810N/A
9/30/20255,521240514830N/A
6/30/20255,651408511850N/A
3/31/20255,907467492855N/A
12/31/20246,163527472860N/A
9/30/20246,581590436868N/A
6/30/20247,000654401876N/A
3/31/20247,367608398856N/A
12/31/20237,733562395836N/A
9/30/20237,921373232578N/A
6/30/20238,11018470320N/A
3/31/20237,94313551264N/A
12/31/20227,7758533208N/A
9/30/20227,12314870272N/A
6/30/20226,471211106335N/A
3/31/20225,780133102321N/A
12/31/20215,0885697307N/A
9/30/20214,695-3579274N/A
6/30/20214,302-12561241N/A
3/31/20214,273-16097273N/A
12/31/20204,245-195132306N/A
6/30/20204,352-89233395N/A
3/31/20204,410-49237404N/A
12/31/20194,468-10242413N/A
9/30/20194,55314N/A407N/A
6/30/20194,39328N/A399N/A
3/31/20194,31124N/A355N/A
12/31/20184,22920N/A311N/A
9/30/20184,091-33N/A271N/A
6/30/20183,952-86N/A231N/A
3/31/20183,818-127N/A273N/A
12/31/20173,684-168N/A315N/A
9/30/20173,474-104N/A276N/A
6/30/20173,264-40N/A236N/A
3/31/20173,10777N/A214N/A
12/31/20162,950194N/A191N/A
9/30/20162,995180N/A162N/A
6/30/20163,040166N/A133N/A
3/31/20163,053111N/A141N/A
12/31/20153,06556N/A148N/A
9/30/20153,062115N/A178N/A
6/30/20153,060174N/A207N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: DRX's forecast earnings growth (14.7% per year) is above the savings rate (3.2%).

Earnings vs Market: DRX's earnings (14.7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the UK market (11.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: DRX's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: DRX's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-6.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: DRX's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.8% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: DRX's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/04/10 18:02
End of Day Share Price 2026/04/10 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Drax Group plc is covered by 26 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Mark HivesBarclays
Dominic NashBarclays
Dominic NashBarclays