United Parcel Service, Inc.

LSE:0R08 Stock Report

Market Cap: US$117.4b

United Parcel Service Valuation

Is 0R08 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0R08 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0R08 ($134.43) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($86.36)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0R08 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0R08?

Key metric: As 0R08 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0R08. This is calculated by dividing 0R08's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0R08's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20.3x
EarningsUS$5.67b
Market CapUS$117.37b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0R08's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0R08 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.3x
IDS International Distribution Services
13.3x28.9%UK£3.4b
DX. DX (Group)
13.5x6.7%UK£306.8m
FDX FedEx
18.3x10.8%US$74.6b
DSV DSV
32.2x10.0%DKK 348.0b
0R08 United Parcel Service
20.3x13.0%US$117.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0R08 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x) compared to the peer average (19.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0R08's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Logistics Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0R08 20.3xIndustry Avg. 13.3xNo. of Companies6PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0R08 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x) compared to the European Logistics industry average (13.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0R08's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0R08 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20.3x
Fair PE Ratio23.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0R08 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0R08 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$134.60
US$149.25
+10.9%
11.7%US$185.00US$100.00n/a29
Nov ’25US$134.07
US$149.28
+11.3%
11.8%US$185.00US$100.00n/a29
Oct ’25US$133.65
US$144.64
+8.2%
13.0%US$190.00US$100.00n/a28
Sep ’25US$127.29
US$145.86
+14.6%
13.4%US$190.00US$100.00n/a29
Aug ’25US$130.35
US$147.73
+13.3%
14.2%US$190.00US$100.00n/a29
Jul ’25US$135.79
US$161.84
+19.2%
12.5%US$205.00US$100.00n/a29
Jun ’25US$138.27
US$162.48
+17.5%
12.5%US$205.00US$100.00n/a28
May ’25US$146.23
US$162.95
+11.4%
12.1%US$205.00US$100.00n/a30
Apr ’25US$148.71
US$159.56
+7.3%
12.9%US$210.00US$100.00n/a29
Mar ’25US$147.89
US$160.34
+8.4%
13.1%US$210.00US$95.00n/a29
Feb ’25US$140.15
US$161.37
+15.1%
14.0%US$215.00US$95.00n/a30
Jan ’25US$156.54
US$166.10
+6.1%
14.3%US$220.00US$100.00n/a30
Dec ’24US$154.34
US$165.57
+7.3%
14.4%US$220.00US$100.00n/a30
Nov ’24US$139.18
US$166.77
+19.8%
14.4%US$220.00US$100.00US$134.0730
Oct ’24US$155.58
US$184.42
+18.5%
12.4%US$230.00US$100.00US$133.6529
Sep ’24US$167.95
US$189.93
+13.1%
11.7%US$230.00US$100.00US$127.2930
Aug ’24US$184.96
US$190.38
+2.9%
12.3%US$230.00US$100.00US$130.3529
Jul ’24US$176.90
US$189.90
+7.3%
12.0%US$230.00US$100.00US$135.7930
Jun ’24US$168.50
US$191.10
+13.4%
11.7%US$230.00US$100.00US$138.2729
May ’24US$179.87
US$189.68
+5.5%
11.4%US$225.00US$100.00US$146.2328
Apr ’24US$192.45
US$191.97
-0.2%
11.8%US$225.00US$100.00US$148.7130
Mar ’24US$183.28
US$191.70
+4.6%
11.8%US$227.00US$100.00US$147.8930
Feb ’24US$182.02
US$191.70
+5.3%
11.8%US$227.00US$100.00US$140.1530
Jan ’24US$174.43
US$190.52
+9.2%
13.1%US$251.00US$100.00US$156.5431
Dec ’23US$190.95
US$189.55
-0.7%
13.1%US$251.00US$100.00US$154.3431
Nov ’23US$166.88
US$189.81
+13.7%
12.4%US$251.00US$100.00US$139.1831

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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