Stock Analysis

Here's Why Jet2 (LON:JET2) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

AIM:JET2
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Jet2 plc (LON:JET2) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Jet2

What Is Jet2's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jet2 had UK£755.8m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has UK£3.18b in cash to offset that, meaning it has UK£2.43b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:JET2 Debt to Equity History August 7th 2024

How Healthy Is Jet2's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jet2 had liabilities of UK£2.70b falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£1.46b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£3.18b and UK£332.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total UK£643.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Jet2 has a market capitalization of UK£2.89b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Jet2 boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

The good news is that Jet2 has increased its EBIT by 8.7% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jet2's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Jet2 may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Jet2 actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last two years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing Up

Although Jet2's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of UK£2.43b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of UK£690m, being 176% of its EBIT. So we don't think Jet2's use of debt is risky. We'd be motivated to research the stock further if we found out that Jet2 insiders have bought shares recently. If you would too, then you're in luck, since today we're sharing our list of reported insider transactions for free.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.