Orange Valuation

Is 0OQV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0OQV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0OQV (€10.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€28.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0OQV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0OQV?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0OQV key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.9x
PEG Ratio1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0OQV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0OQV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.3x
BT.A BT Group
5.5x-4.4%UK£10.2b
VOD Vodafone Group
2.1x-40.8%UK£19.0b
2412 Chunghwa Telecom
26.1x2.8%NT$965.8b
BCE BCE
19.7x10.0%CA$40.7b
0OQV Orange
12.3x10.0%€27.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0OQV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0OQV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a21.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0OQV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (17x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0OQV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0OQV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.3x
Fair PE Ratio10.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0OQV is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0OQV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€10.52
€13.18
+25.3%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a19
Apr ’25€10.89
€13.09
+20.2%
12.6%€15.50€8.00n/a18
Mar ’25€10.59
€13.06
+23.4%
12.6%€15.50€8.00n/a18
Feb ’25€10.96
€12.96
+18.3%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a18
Jan ’25€10.30
€12.80
+24.3%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a20
Dec ’24€11.38
€12.75
+12.0%
12.6%€15.50€8.00n/a20
Nov ’24€11.18
€12.74
+14.0%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a20
Oct ’24€10.84
€12.62
+16.4%
15.2%€16.00€8.00n/a20
Sep ’24€10.44
€12.70
+21.6%
15.7%€16.00€8.00n/a18
Aug ’24€10.24
€12.70
+24.0%
15.7%€16.00€8.00n/a18
Jul ’24€10.73
€12.69
+18.2%
15.2%€15.50€8.00n/a18
Jun ’24€11.18
€12.62
+12.9%
15.1%€15.50€8.00n/a19
May ’24€11.79
€12.45
+5.6%
15.5%€15.50€8.00n/a19
Apr ’24€10.97
€12.10
+10.3%
16.9%€15.50€8.00€10.8919
Mar ’24€10.82
€12.12
+12.0%
16.2%€15.50€8.00€10.5920
Feb ’24€9.69
€12.12
+25.1%
17.3%€16.00€8.00€10.9621
Jan ’24€9.36
€12.18
+30.1%
16.9%€16.00€8.00€10.3021
Dec ’23€9.76
€12.15
+24.5%
16.6%€16.00€8.00€11.3821
Nov ’23€9.69
€12.01
+23.9%
18.8%€16.00€7.44€11.1821
Oct ’23€9.29
€12.57
+35.4%
15.4%€16.00€8.60€10.8421
Sep ’23€10.14
€12.63
+24.5%
15.7%€16.00€8.60€10.4420
Aug ’23€10.00
€12.54
+25.4%
15.7%€16.00€8.70€10.2421
Jul ’23€11.26
€12.47
+10.7%
16.2%€16.00€8.30€10.7321
Jun ’23€11.65
€12.21
+4.8%
16.6%€15.50€8.30€11.1822
May ’23€11.31
€12.07
+6.7%
16.5%€15.50€8.30€11.7922
Apr ’23€10.78
€11.94
+10.8%
17.0%€15.80€8.25€10.9722

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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