Orange Valuation

Is 0OQV undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0OQV when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0OQV (€9.98) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€26.18)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0OQV is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0OQV?

Key metric: As 0OQV is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0OQV. This is calculated by dividing 0OQV's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0OQV's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.1x
Earnings€2.04b
Market Cap€26.59b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0OQV's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0OQV vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.9x
BT.A BT Group
20.6x14.1%UK£15.8b
VOD Vodafone Group
9.4x3.7%UK£18.3b
2412 Chunghwa Telecom
26.2x3.1%NT$954.2b
SCMN Swisscom
15.6x0.01%CHF 26.3b
0OQV Orange
13.1x13.2%€26.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0OQV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the peer average (17.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0OQV's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0OQV 13.1xIndustry Avg. 18.0xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0OQV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (18x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0OQV's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0OQV PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.1x
Fair PE Ratio20.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0OQV is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0OQV forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€9.98
€13.07
+30.9%
13.6%€15.50€8.00n/a20
Nov ’25€10.11
€13.07
+29.3%
13.5%€15.50€8.00n/a20
Oct ’25€10.31
€12.91
+25.3%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a21
Sep ’25€10.39
€12.96
+24.8%
13.2%€16.00€8.00n/a21
Aug ’25€10.23
€12.96
+26.7%
13.2%€16.00€8.00n/a21
Jul ’25€9.51
€13.05
+37.1%
12.9%€16.00€8.00n/a20
Jun ’25€10.78
€13.13
+21.8%
12.3%€15.50€8.00n/a20
May ’25€10.43
€13.18
+26.5%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a19
Apr ’25€10.89
€13.09
+20.2%
12.6%€15.50€8.00n/a18
Mar ’25€10.59
€13.06
+23.4%
12.6%€15.50€8.00n/a18
Feb ’25€10.96
€12.96
+18.3%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a18
Jan ’25€10.30
€12.80
+24.3%
12.7%€15.50€8.00n/a20
Dec ’24€11.38
€12.75
+12.0%
12.6%€15.50€8.00€10.0820
Nov ’24€11.18
€12.74
+14.0%
12.7%€15.50€8.00€10.1120
Oct ’24€10.84
€12.62
+16.4%
15.2%€16.00€8.00€10.3120
Sep ’24€10.44
€12.70
+21.6%
15.7%€16.00€8.00€10.3918
Aug ’24€10.24
€12.70
+24.0%
15.7%€16.00€8.00€10.2318
Jul ’24€10.73
€12.69
+18.2%
15.2%€15.50€8.00€9.5118
Jun ’24€11.18
€12.62
+12.9%
15.1%€15.50€8.00€10.7819
May ’24€11.79
€12.45
+5.6%
15.5%€15.50€8.00€10.4319
Apr ’24€10.97
€12.10
+10.3%
16.9%€15.50€8.00€10.8919
Mar ’24€10.82
€12.12
+12.0%
16.2%€15.50€8.00€10.5920
Feb ’24€9.69
€12.12
+25.1%
17.3%€16.00€8.00€10.9621
Jan ’24€9.36
€12.18
+30.1%
16.9%€16.00€8.00€10.3021
Dec ’23€9.76
€12.15
+24.5%
16.6%€16.00€8.00€11.3821

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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