Telstra Group Limited

ASX:TLS Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$45.9b

Telstra Group Valuation

Is TLS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TLS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TLS (A$3.98) is trading above our estimate of fair value (A$3.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TLS is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TLS?

Key metric: As TLS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TLS. This is calculated by dividing TLS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TLS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.3x
EarningsAU$1.62b
Market CapAU$45.94b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TLS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TLS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16x
2412 Chunghwa Telecom
26.1x3.1%NT$954.2b
762 China Unicom (Hong Kong)
10x5.2%HK$218.8b
SCMN Swisscom
15.3x-0.08%CHF 25.8b
ORA Orange
12.3x13.1%€25.1b
TLS Telstra Group
28.3x10.5%AU$45.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TLS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x) compared to the peer average (13.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TLS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Telecom Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TLS 28.3xIndustry Avg. 16.4xNo. of Companies35PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TLS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x) compared to the Global Telecom industry average (16.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TLS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TLS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.3x
Fair PE Ratio32.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TLS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (32.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TLS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$3.98
AU$4.29
+7.7%
8.5%AU$4.50AU$3.20n/a14
Dec ’25AU$3.94
AU$4.26
+8.1%
8.4%AU$4.50AU$3.20n/a14
Nov ’25AU$3.82
AU$4.26
+11.5%
8.4%AU$4.50AU$3.20n/a14
Oct ’25AU$3.90
AU$4.26
+9.2%
8.4%AU$4.50AU$3.20n/a14
Sep ’25AU$3.93
AU$4.24
+8.0%
8.6%AU$4.50AU$3.20n/a16
Aug ’25AU$3.95
AU$4.18
+5.9%
9.2%AU$4.50AU$3.00n/a16
Jul ’25AU$3.61
AU$4.14
+14.7%
10.1%AU$4.65AU$3.00n/a16
Jun ’25AU$3.47
AU$4.14
+19.4%
10.1%AU$4.65AU$3.00n/a16
May ’25AU$3.64
AU$4.40
+21.0%
6.1%AU$4.90AU$3.73n/a16
Apr ’25AU$3.86
AU$4.40
+14.1%
6.1%AU$4.90AU$3.73n/a16
Mar ’25AU$3.81
AU$4.40
+15.6%
6.1%AU$4.90AU$3.73n/a16
Feb ’25AU$4.03
AU$4.52
+12.1%
6.3%AU$5.10AU$4.00n/a15
Jan ’25AU$3.96
AU$4.51
+13.9%
6.3%AU$5.10AU$4.00n/a15
Dec ’24AU$3.79
AU$4.47
+18.1%
7.1%AU$5.10AU$3.75AU$3.9416
Nov ’24AU$3.81
AU$4.54
+19.3%
7.6%AU$5.10AU$3.75AU$3.8214
Oct ’24AU$3.85
AU$4.60
+19.5%
7.3%AU$5.10AU$3.75AU$3.9013
Sep ’24AU$4.02
AU$4.60
+14.5%
7.3%AU$5.10AU$3.75AU$3.9313
Aug ’24AU$4.26
AU$4.68
+9.9%
6.9%AU$5.20AU$3.75AU$3.9513
Jul ’24AU$4.30
AU$4.66
+8.4%
6.9%AU$5.20AU$3.75AU$3.6113
Jun ’24AU$4.39
AU$4.67
+6.5%
7.6%AU$5.50AU$3.75AU$3.4714
May ’24AU$4.38
AU$4.70
+7.3%
6.3%AU$5.50AU$4.20AU$3.6413
Apr ’24AU$4.22
AU$4.67
+10.7%
6.1%AU$5.50AU$4.20AU$3.8613
Mar ’24AU$4.04
AU$4.60
+13.9%
8.7%AU$5.50AU$3.57AU$3.8114
Feb ’24AU$4.15
AU$4.54
+9.4%
8.7%AU$5.40AU$3.57AU$4.0314
Jan ’24AU$3.99
AU$4.45
+11.4%
9.1%AU$5.30AU$3.57AU$3.9614
Dec ’23AU$3.98
AU$4.43
+11.2%
8.8%AU$5.30AU$3.57AU$3.7914

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 20:40
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Telstra Group Limited is covered by 36 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Eric ChoiBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited