Telstra Group Limited

ASX:TLS Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$58.8b

Telstra Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Telstra Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 4.3% and 2.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 5.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 20.5% in 3 years.

Key information

4.3%

Earnings growth rate

5.07%

EPS growth rate

Telecom earnings growth9.9%
Revenue growth rate2.4%
Future return on equity20.47%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • May 05

TLS: Future Returns Will Rely On Buybacks Dividends And Risk Repricing

Analysts have trimmed their Telstra Group price targets, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions and cautious readthrough from recent software sector weakness. Fair value, long term revenue growth, margin and P/E inputs remain broadly unchanged.
Narrative Update • Apr 20

TLS: Future Returns Will Rely On Buybacks Dividends And Sentiment Resilience

Analysts have made a small adjustment to Telstra Group's price target, reflecting largely unchanged fair value estimates with only minor tweaks to assumptions such as discount rate, long term revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, following recent sector wide software volatility rather than company specific drivers. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on a peer name in the software and security space shows that price target changes can sit alongside relatively steady views on business quality and long term prospects.
Narrative Update • Apr 03

TLS: Future Returns Will Rely On Buybacks Dividends And Execution Resilience

Analysts have slightly lifted their fair value estimate for Telstra Group, taking the implied price target from about A$5.21 to around A$5.27. This reflects modest adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions in light of recent research commentary on peers facing software sector pressure but still reporting solid results and in-line guidance.
Narrative Update • Mar 18

TLS: Future Returns Will Rely On Buybacks Dividends And Margin Resilience

Analysts have made only a modest adjustment to Telstra Group's valuation, with the updated A$ fair value per share held at A$5.21. They cite steady profit margin assumptions and a slightly higher discount rate as key drivers behind the refreshed price target outlook.
Narrative Update • Mar 03

TLS: Future Returns Will Depend On Buybacks Dividends And P/E Support

Analysts have raised their price target on Telstra Group to A$5.21 from A$4.97, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Telstra Group announced an increase in its equity buyback authority by A$250 million on February 19, 2026, bringing the total authorization to A$1.25 billion (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Feb 17

TLS: Stable Fair Value Will Rely On Modest Margin And Multiple Support

Analysts have kept their A$4.97 price target for Telstra Group broadly unchanged, noting only slight adjustments to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that offset one another in their updated model. Valuation Changes Fair Value: A$4.97 remains unchanged, with no movement in the modelled fair value estimate.
Narrative Update • Feb 03

TLS: Modest Model Tweaks Will Shape Future Margins And Measured Upside

Analysts have nudged their price target for Telstra Group slightly higher to about A$4.97 from A$4.93, citing modest model updates that reflect small adjustments to discount rates, revenue growth assumptions, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on a different company in the broader telecom and technology space highlights what bullish and cautious analysts tend to focus on when they revisit models and targets.
Narrative Update • Jan 19

TLS: Future Margins And Discount Rate Assumptions Will Shape Measured Upside Potential

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Telstra Group slightly lower to A$4.93, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, modest revenue growth and profit margin trends, while keeping future P/E expectations broadly steady. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on a peer company, Telos, has centered on earnings quality and guidance revisions, which can be useful context when you think about how analysts frame valuation and execution risk for Telstra Group.
Analysis Article • Dec 28

Telstra Group Limited (ASX:TLS) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

When you see that almost half of the companies in the Telecom industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios (or...
Narrative Update • Dec 20

TLS: Future Margins And Cash Flow Will Support Measured Upside Potential

Analysts have raised their price target on Telstra Group to $9.00 from $7.00, citing stronger than expected revenue and EBITDA performance, as well as improving margin expansion and free cash flow visibility that supports a higher valuation multiple. Analyst Commentary Street research has turned increasingly constructive on Telstra Group, with multiple firms lifting price targets as they recalibrate models to reflect stronger operating trends and improved visibility into medium term cash generation.
Narrative Update • Dec 06

TLS Margins And Cash Flow Will Shape Measured Upside Outlook

Analysts have nudged their price target on Telstra Group modestly higher to reflect a slightly increased fair value estimate of about $4.94, citing ongoing revenue growth, resilient margins, and expectations for stronger future earnings multiples despite a marginally higher discount rate. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts view Telstra Group's recent performance and guidance as evidence that the company is entering a more durable growth phase, with improving earnings quality and greater visibility on cash generation.
Analysis Article • Dec 01

Do Telstra Group's (ASX:TLS) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Investors are often guided by the idea of discovering 'the next big thing', even if that means buying 'story stocks...
Analysis Article • Sep 22

Investor Optimism Abounds Telstra Group Limited (ASX:TLS) But Growth Is Lacking

Telstra Group Limited's ( ASX:TLS ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.4x may not look like an appealing investment...
Analysis Article • Aug 16

Telstra Group (ASX:TLS) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of A$0.095

The board of Telstra Group Limited ( ASX:TLS ) has announced that it will pay a dividend on the 25th of September, with...
Analysis Article • Jun 25

Telstra Group (ASX:TLS) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to...
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New Narrative • Feb 23

Joint Venture With Accenture Will Expand AI Capabilities And Reinforce Future Market Leadership

Telstra's strategic partnerships and network investments aim to boost its technology leadership and revenue through improvements in customer experience and connectivity.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:TLS - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/202824,7112,5933,0777,73511
6/30/202724,2292,4513,2947,49212
6/30/202623,8242,3212,9857,21912
12/31/202523,1642,2693,9737,789N/A
9/30/202523,1452,2213,7127,557N/A
6/30/202523,1252,1723,4507,324N/A
3/31/202523,1151,9292,7857,256N/A
12/31/202423,1051,6852,1207,188N/A
9/30/202423,0171,6542,0537,119N/A
6/30/202422,9281,6221,9857,049N/A
3/31/202422,8751,8252,4897,009N/A
12/31/202322,8212,0272,9936,969N/A
9/30/202322,7621,9782,9636,886N/A
6/30/202322,7021,9282,9326,802N/A
3/31/202322,3911,8923,2366,836N/A
12/31/202222,0801,8553,5396,869N/A
9/30/202221,6791,7723,8477,059N/A
6/30/202221,2771,6884,1557,249N/A
3/31/202221,1771,5734,0107,142N/A
12/31/202121,0771,4573,8657,034N/A
9/30/202121,3181,6573,9787,133N/A
6/30/202121,5581,8574,0917,231N/A
3/31/202122,0441,8184,1407,476N/A
12/31/202022,5301,7784,1887,720N/A
9/30/202023,1201,7993,8787,365N/A
6/30/202023,7101,8193,5687,010N/A
3/31/202024,2741,9403,3746,805N/A
12/31/201924,8372,0603,1796,599N/A
9/30/201925,0482,107N/A6,641N/A
6/30/201925,2592,154N/A6,683N/A
3/31/201925,4422,633N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201825,6253,111N/A7,650N/A
9/30/201825,7373,351N/A8,128N/A
6/30/201825,8483,591N/A8,606N/A
3/31/201825,9323,702N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201726,0163,813N/A8,386N/A
9/30/201726,0153,852N/A8,081N/A
6/30/201726,0133,891N/A7,775N/A
12/31/201625,4283,573N/A7,618N/A
9/30/201625,6703,668N/A7,876N/A
6/30/201625,9113,763N/A8,133N/A
12/31/201525,8033,955N/A8,294N/A
9/30/201525,6663,998N/A8,303N/A
6/30/201525,5284,040N/A8,311N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: TLS's forecast earnings growth (4.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.6%).

Earnings vs Market: TLS's earnings (4.3% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: TLS's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: TLS's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (6.4% per year).

High Growth Revenue: TLS's revenue (2.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: TLS's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time (20.5%)

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/12 17:24
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/12 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Telstra Group Limited is covered by 27 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eric ChoiBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Aryan NoroziBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Chris SavageBell Potter