Telenor Valuation

Is TELO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TELO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TELO (NOK122.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (NOK298.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TELO is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TELO?

Key metric: As TELO is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TELO. This is calculated by dividing TELO's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TELO's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio19.9x
EarningsNOK 8.41b
Market CapNOK 167.51b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TELO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TELO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average16.4x
BT.A BT Group
18.5x16.5%UK£14.1b
VOD Vodafone Group
8.8x3.7%UK£17.3b
GAMA Gamma Communications
26.1x14.2%UK£1.5b
TLKM Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia
12.1x6.6%Rp272.4t
TELO Telenor
19.9x-13.5%NOK 167.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TELO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the peer average (10.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TELO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Telecom Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TELO is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.9x) compared to the European Telecom industry average (16.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TELO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TELO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio19.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TELO's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TELO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Dec ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Nov ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Oct ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Sep ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Aug ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Jul ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Jun ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
May ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Apr ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Mar ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Feb ’25n/a
NOK 129.83
0%
15.5%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Jan ’25n/a
NOK 130.17
0%
15.8%NOK 170.00NOK 92.00n/a18
Dec ’24n/a
NOK 126.06
0%
16.4%NOK 165.00NOK 92.00n/a17
Nov ’24n/a
NOK 128.05
0%
16.4%NOK 165.00NOK 92.00n/a19
Oct ’24n/a
NOK 129.74
0%
16.5%NOK 160.00NOK 88.00n/a19
Sep ’24n/a
NOK 128.16
0%
16.2%NOK 157.00NOK 88.00n/a19
Aug ’24n/a
NOK 130.21
0%
15.7%NOK 157.00NOK 90.00n/a19
Jul ’24n/a
NOK 131.63
0%
15.3%NOK 155.00NOK 90.00n/a19
Jun ’24n/a
NOK 131.16
0%
16.0%NOK 155.00NOK 90.00n/a19
May ’24n/a
NOK 129.11
0%
17.8%NOK 160.00NOK 86.00n/a18
Apr ’24n/a
NOK 123.67
0%
17.6%NOK 160.00NOK 86.00n/a18
Mar ’24n/a
NOK 123.16
0%
17.3%NOK 160.00NOK 84.00n/a19
Feb ’24n/a
NOK 120.79
0%
20.1%NOK 170.00NOK 80.00n/a19
Jan ’24n/a
NOK 123.67
0%
21.2%NOK 170.00NOK 80.00n/a18
Dec ’23n/a
NOK 126.06
0%
19.7%NOK 170.00NOK 82.00n/a18

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/01/29 14:40
End of Day Share Price 2024/01/15 00:00
Earnings2023/09/30
Annual Earnings2022/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Telenor ASA is covered by 48 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Peter NielsenABG Sundal Collier
Jean-Michel SalvadorAlphaValue
Markus BjerkeArctic Securities ASA