While Tungsten Corporation plc (LON:TUNG) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the AIM over the last few months, increasing to UK£0.38 at one point, and dropping to the lows of UK£0.22. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Tungsten's current trading price of UK£0.22 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Tungsten’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What's the opportunity in Tungsten?
The stock is currently trading at UK£0.22 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 29% compared to my intrinsic value of £0.17. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Tungsten’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What does the future of Tungsten look like?
Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With revenues expected to grow by a double-digit 10% over the next couple of years, the outlook is positive for Tungsten. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? TUNG’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe TUNG should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on TUNG for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for TUNG, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
If you'd like to know more about Tungsten as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Tungsten has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore these.
If you are no longer interested in Tungsten, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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