Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Equals Group plc (LON:EQLS) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Equals Group
How Much Debt Does Equals Group Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2021 Equals Group had UK£2.00m of debt, an increase on none, over one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds UK£10.1m in cash, so it actually has UK£8.08m net cash.
How Healthy Is Equals Group's Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Equals Group had liabilities of UK£16.2m due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£11.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had UK£10.1m in cash and UK£10.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£6.33m.
Of course, Equals Group has a market capitalization of UK£122.8m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Equals Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Equals Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year Equals Group wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 3.1%, to UK£32m. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
So How Risky Is Equals Group?
Although Equals Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of UK£2.3m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Equals Group that you should be aware of.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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About AIM:EQLS
Equals Group
Through its subsidiaries, develops and sells payment platforms to private clients and corporations through prepaid currency cards, international money transfers, and current accounts in the United Kingdom.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.