Stock Analysis

What Is dotdigital Group Plc's (LON:DOTD) Share Price Doing?

AIM:DOTD
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dotdigital Group Plc (LON:DOTD), is not the largest company out there, but it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the AIM over the last few months. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Today I will analyse the most recent data on dotdigital Group’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists.

View our latest analysis for dotdigital Group

What's The Opportunity In dotdigital Group?

The stock is currently trading at UK£0.82 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 37% compared to my intrinsic value of £0.60. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that dotdigital Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from dotdigital Group?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
AIM:DOTD Earnings and Revenue Growth November 5th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with a relatively muted profit growth of 9.8% expected over the next couple of years, growth doesn’t seem like a key driver for a buy decision for dotdigital Group, at least in the short term.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? DOTD’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe DOTD should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on DOTD for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example - dotdigital Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in dotdigital Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.