Stock Analysis

Revenues Not Telling The Story For EnSilica plc (LON:ENSI) After Shares Rise 27%

AIM:ENSI
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Those holding EnSilica plc (LON:ENSI) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 43% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about EnSilica's P/S ratio of 2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Semiconductor industry in the United Kingdom is also close to 2.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for EnSilica

ps-multiple-vs-industry
AIM:ENSI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 9th 2024

What Does EnSilica's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for EnSilica as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think EnSilica's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is EnSilica's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like EnSilica's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 34%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 217% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 20% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that EnSilica's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On EnSilica's P/S

EnSilica appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

When you consider that EnSilica's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with EnSilica (including 1 which can't be ignored).

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether EnSilica is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.