Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Marks and Spencer Group (LON:MKS) Is Using Debt Extensively

LSE:MKS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Marks and Spencer Group plc (LON:MKS) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Marks and Spencer Group

How Much Debt Does Marks and Spencer Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Marks and Spencer Group had debt of UK£1.49b at the end of April 2021, a reduction from UK£1.62b over a year. On the flip side, it has UK£692.8m in cash leading to net debt of about UK£796.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:MKS Debt to Equity History May 28th 2021

A Look At Marks and Spencer Group's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Marks and Spencer Group had liabilities of UK£2.30b due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£4.06b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£692.8m and UK£245.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£5.41b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the UK£3.34b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Marks and Spencer Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Marks and Spencer Group's debt to EBITDA ratio (2.5) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.89, suggesting high leverage. So shareholders should probably be aware that interest expenses appear to have really impacted the business lately. Importantly, Marks and Spencer Group's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 67% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Marks and Spencer Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Marks and Spencer Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

On the face of it, Marks and Spencer Group's EBIT growth rate left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Marks and Spencer Group to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Marks and Spencer Group that you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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