Ulta Beauty, Inc.

LSE:0LIB Stock Report

Market Cap: US$20.2b

Ulta Beauty Valuation

Is 0LIB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0LIB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0LIB ($429.56) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($482.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0LIB is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0LIB?

Key metric: As 0LIB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0LIB. This is calculated by dividing 0LIB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0LIB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.6x
EarningsUS$1.20b
Market CapUS$20.17b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0LIB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0LIB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.4x
JD. JD Sports Fashion
14.4x23.2%UK£4.9b
FRAS Frasers Group
8.4x13.2%UK£2.6b
WOSG Watches of Switzerland Group
32x27.7%UK£1.3b
SMWH WH Smith
22.6x18.0%UK£1.5b
0LIB Ulta Beauty
16.6x-0.7%US$20.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0LIB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the peer average (19.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0LIB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Specialty Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
0LIB 16.6xIndustry Avg. 14.3xNo. of Companies4PE0816243240+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0LIB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the UK Specialty Retail industry average (14.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0LIB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0LIB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.6x
Fair PE Ratio18.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0LIB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0LIB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$429.56
US$438.31
+2.0%
12.3%US$510.00US$330.00n/a26
Dec ’25US$386.64
US$398.74
+3.1%
11.9%US$472.00US$300.00n/a26
Nov ’25US$377.03
US$396.24
+5.1%
12.3%US$472.00US$300.00n/a26
Oct ’25US$381.25
US$400.54
+5.1%
12.1%US$505.00US$300.00n/a26
Sep ’25US$352.56
US$406.96
+15.4%
11.0%US$505.00US$300.00n/a25
Aug ’25US$347.60
US$469.15
+35.0%
12.9%US$552.00US$325.00n/a25
Jul ’25US$384.19
US$481.94
+25.4%
12.8%US$608.58US$350.00n/a25
Jun ’25US$390.24
US$487.70
+25.0%
12.0%US$608.58US$350.00n/a25
May ’25US$401.79
US$550.33
+37.0%
13.7%US$690.00US$350.00n/a26
Apr ’25US$524.91
US$582.87
+11.0%
10.8%US$690.00US$410.00n/a26
Mar ’25US$546.69
US$547.41
+0.1%
12.6%US$635.00US$378.00n/a25
Feb ’25US$502.77
US$536.01
+6.6%
12.1%US$635.00US$378.00n/a25
Jan ’25US$489.09
US$529.81
+8.3%
11.3%US$620.00US$378.00US$435.6425
Dec ’24US$469.47
US$522.75
+11.3%
11.6%US$620.00US$378.00US$386.6425
Nov ’24US$374.12
US$513.49
+37.3%
12.0%US$606.00US$375.00US$377.0324
Oct ’24US$401.42
US$523.45
+30.4%
12.1%US$640.00US$375.00US$381.2524
Sep ’24US$415.89
US$522.50
+25.6%
12.1%US$640.00US$375.00US$352.5624
Aug ’24US$441.67
US$529.67
+19.9%
13.0%US$640.00US$350.00US$347.6024
Jul ’24US$469.87
US$529.67
+12.7%
13.0%US$640.00US$350.00US$384.1924
Jun ’24US$406.93
US$526.33
+29.3%
13.5%US$640.00US$350.00US$390.2424
May ’24US$548.97
US$555.33
+1.2%
12.7%US$640.00US$364.00US$401.7924
Apr ’24US$541.11
US$551.29
+1.9%
12.7%US$636.00US$352.00US$524.9124
Mar ’24US$514.45
US$526.24
+2.3%
13.0%US$607.00US$352.00US$546.6925
Feb ’24US$513.84
US$514.96
+0.2%
12.1%US$607.00US$352.00US$502.7725
Jan ’24US$468.09
US$514.36
+9.9%
11.8%US$607.00US$352.00US$489.0925

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/02 01:44
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings2024/11/02
Annual Earnings2024/02/03

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is covered by 48 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Deborah CiervoArgus Research Company
Mark AltschwagerBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research