MercadoLibre Valuation
Is MLB1D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
0/6Valuation Score 0/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of MLB1D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: MLB1D (€2030.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€916.24)
Significantly Below Fair Value: MLB1D is trading above our estimate of fair value.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MLB1D?
Key metric: As MLB1D is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is MLB1D's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 74.1x |
| Earnings | US$1.44b |
| Market Cap | US$106.46b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 5.7x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 39.1x |
| PEG Ratio | 2.6x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does MLB1D's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 12x | ||
NXT NEXT | 14.5x | 2.6% | UK£11.6b |
BME B&M European Value Retail | 10.6x | 11.1% | UK£3.5b |
PDD PDD Holdings | 9.2x | 14.1% | US$139.8b |
PRX Prosus | 13.9x | 4.8% | €90.5b |
MLB1D MercadoLibre | 74.1x | 28.0% | €106.5b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MLB1D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (74.1x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does MLB1D's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?
| 6 Companies | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Companies | Estimated Growth | Market Cap | |
|---|---|---|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MLB1D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (74.1x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (20.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is MLB1D's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 74.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MLB1D's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | €2,030.50 | €2,171.35 +6.9% | 10.5% | €2,671.20 | €1,669.50 | n/a | 25 |
| Nov ’25 | n/a | €2,123.84 0% | 12.0% | €2,574.32 | €1,517.01 | n/a | 25 |
| Oct ’25 | n/a | €1,992.48 0% | 11.0% | €2,388.85 | €1,476.26 | n/a | 24 |
| Sep ’25 | €1,820.80 | €1,926.61 +5.8% | 9.6% | €2,231.26 | €1,484.51 | n/a | 22 |
| Aug ’25 | n/a | €1,832.05 0% | 7.5% | €2,020.92 | €1,377.90 | n/a | 22 |
| Jul ’25 | n/a | €1,843.09 0% | 7.6% | €2,119.05 | €1,400.25 | n/a | 22 |
| Jun ’25 | n/a | €1,816.45 0% | 7.8% | €2,089.99 | €1,381.05 | n/a | 23 |
| May ’25 | n/a | €1,792.93 0% | 10.1% | €2,018.30 | €1,308.16 | n/a | 24 |
| Apr ’25 | n/a | €1,822.48 0% | 8.6% | €2,001.65 | €1,303.40 | n/a | 24 |
| Mar ’25 | €1,527.40 | €1,804.43 +18.1% | 9.5% | €2,030.16 | €1,291.92 | n/a | 24 |
| Feb ’25 | n/a | €1,704.44 0% | 10.6% | €2,024.00 | €1,223.60 | n/a | 23 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | €1,580.30 0% | 11.7% | €1,909.06 | €1,197.67 | n/a | 23 |
| Dec ’24 | n/a | €1,561.08 0% | 12.1% | €1,929.84 | €1,210.70 | n/a | 24 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | €1,527.83 0% | 13.7% | €2,034.55 | €1,192.34 | n/a | 24 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | €1,510.98 0% | 13.1% | €2,040.26 | €1,179.23 | n/a | 23 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | €1,500.28 0% | 13.0% | €2,023.69 | €1,169.66 | €1,820.80 | 24 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | €1,396.21 0% | 11.1% | €1,736.95 | €1,136.75 | n/a | 22 |
| Jul ’24 | n/a | €1,437.34 0% | 9.4% | €1,661.76 | €1,147.63 | n/a | 21 |
| Jun ’24 | n/a | €1,450.02 0% | 9.9% | €1,680.40 | €1,160.50 | n/a | 21 |
| May ’24 | n/a | €1,329.24 0% | 14.7% | €1,606.28 | €726.00 | n/a | 22 |
| Apr ’24 | n/a | €1,292.20 0% | 14.4% | €1,622.91 | €733.52 | n/a | 22 |
| Mar ’24 | n/a | €1,295.79 0% | 14.8% | €1,641.33 | €750.32 | €1,527.40 | 22 |
| Feb ’24 | n/a | €1,163.16 0% | 13.7% | €1,424.45 | €735.20 | n/a | 22 |
| Jan ’24 | n/a | €1,190.65 0% | 12.7% | €1,459.95 | €753.52 | n/a | 22 |
| Dec ’23 | n/a | €1,240.21 0% | 14.7% | €1,586.31 | €769.12 | n/a | 22 |
| Nov ’23 | n/a | €1,310.80 0% | 15.1% | €1,670.13 | €809.76 | n/a | 23 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.
Discover undervalued companies
Frasers Group
UK£3.2b
Frasers Group Plc, together with its subsidiaries, retails sports and leisure clothing, footwear, homeware, furniture, sports equipment and bicycles, accessories, and apparel through department stores, shops, and online in the United Kingdom, Europe, the United States, Asia, Oceania, and internationally.
FRAS
UK£7.53
7D
2.1%
1Y
-15.9%
Pets at Home Group
UK£1.3b
Engages in the specialist omnichannel retailing of pet food, pet related products, and pet accessories in the United Kingdom.
PETS
UK£2.30
7D
-17.9%
1Y
-25.5%
Alibaba Group Holding
US$194.6b
Through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses to engage with their users and customers in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
AHLAD
US$81.40
7D
-1.5%
1Y
16.4%