B&M European Value Retail S.A.

LSE:BME Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£4.1b

B&M European Value Retail Valuation

Is BME undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BME when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BME (£4.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£8.7)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BME is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BME?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

BME key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9x
PEG Ratio1.5x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BME's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BME vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
NXT NEXT
15x1.8%UK£12.0b
FRAS Frasers Group
9.3x10.3%UK£3.6b
KGF Kingfisher
17.4x13.4%UK£6.0b
DNLM Dunelm Group
16.5x5.8%UK£2.5b
BME B&M European Value Retail
11.2x7.3%UK£4.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BME is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the peer average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BME's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a6.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BME is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the Global Multiline Retail industry average (19.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BME's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BME PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.2x
Fair PE Ratio17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BME is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BME forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£4.10
UK£5.80
+41.3%
15.3%UK£7.00UK£3.90n/a18
Sep ’25UK£4.45
UK£5.88
+32.0%
13.2%UK£7.00UK£4.33n/a18
Aug ’25UK£4.59
UK£5.88
+28.0%
13.2%UK£7.00UK£4.33n/a18
Jul ’25UK£4.42
UK£5.94
+34.5%
14.3%UK£7.20UK£4.33n/a18
Jun ’25UK£5.45
UK£6.29
+15.5%
9.1%UK£7.20UK£5.20n/a18
May ’25UK£5.19
UK£6.28
+20.9%
9.3%UK£7.20UK£5.20n/a18
Apr ’25UK£5.46
UK£6.22
+14.0%
12.8%UK£7.15UK£3.80n/a18
Mar ’25UK£5.33
UK£6.22
+16.8%
12.8%UK£7.15UK£3.80n/a18
Feb ’25UK£5.13
UK£6.24
+21.5%
12.7%UK£7.15UK£3.80n/a18
Jan ’25UK£5.60
UK£6.22
+11.1%
12.8%UK£7.10UK£3.80n/a18
Dec ’24UK£5.89
UK£6.22
+5.7%
12.8%UK£7.10UK£3.80n/a18
Nov ’24UK£5.33
UK£6.04
+13.3%
14.0%UK£7.20UK£3.80n/a16
Oct ’24UK£5.86
UK£5.94
+1.3%
16.7%UK£7.20UK£3.60n/a18
Sep ’24UK£5.74
UK£5.85
+1.9%
15.4%UK£6.85UK£3.60UK£4.4519
Aug ’24UK£5.48
UK£5.81
+6.0%
15.0%UK£6.85UK£3.60UK£4.5919
Jul ’24UK£5.57
UK£5.80
+4.1%
15.0%UK£6.85UK£3.60UK£4.4219
Jun ’24UK£5.29
UK£5.15
-2.7%
18.0%UK£6.85UK£3.30UK£5.4519
May ’24UK£4.80
UK£5.04
+5.1%
17.2%UK£6.85UK£3.30UK£5.1918
Apr ’24UK£4.82
UK£5.04
+4.6%
17.2%UK£6.85UK£3.30UK£5.4618
Mar ’24UK£4.91
UK£4.97
+1.2%
17.5%UK£6.85UK£3.30UK£5.3319
Feb ’24UK£4.53
UK£4.76
+5.2%
16.2%UK£6.85UK£3.30UK£5.1319
Jan ’24UK£4.11
UK£4.45
+8.1%
18.7%UK£6.85UK£3.00UK£5.6019
Dec ’23UK£4.15
UK£4.37
+5.4%
18.1%UK£6.85UK£3.00UK£5.8919
Nov ’23UK£3.38
UK£4.32
+27.8%
19.5%UK£6.85UK£3.00UK£5.3318
Oct ’23UK£3.06
UK£4.88
+59.4%
20.2%UK£6.85UK£3.00UK£5.8618
Sep ’23UK£3.68
UK£4.90
+33.0%
17.6%UK£6.85UK£3.30UK£5.7418

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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