Stock Analysis

Here's Why Supreme (LON:SUP) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

AIM:SUP 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value
AIM:SUP 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Supreme Plc (LON:SUP) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

What Is Supreme's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2025 Supreme had UK£2.09m of debt, an increase on UK£2.0k, over one year. But it also has UK£3.18m in cash to offset that, meaning it has UK£1.10m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:SUP Debt to Equity History August 21st 2025

A Look At Supreme's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Supreme had liabilities of UK£43.4m due within a year, and liabilities of UK£14.7m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£3.18m and UK£39.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£15.7m.

Since publicly traded Supreme shares are worth a total of UK£213.5m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Supreme boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

See our latest analysis for Supreme

On the other hand, Supreme saw its EBIT drop by 7.7% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Supreme can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Supreme may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Supreme generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 83% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Supreme has UK£1.10m in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 83% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in UK£22m. So we don't think Supreme's use of debt is risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Supreme (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About AIM:SUP

Supreme

Owns, manufactures, and distributes fast-moving branded and discounted consumer goods in the United Kingdom, Ireland, the Netherlands, France, rest of Europe, and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.

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