Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Mountview Estates P.L.C. (LON:MTVW) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Mountview Estates
How Much Debt Does Mountview Estates Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Mountview Estates had UK£47.7m of debt, up from UK£40.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.
How Strong Is Mountview Estates' Balance Sheet?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Mountview Estates had liabilities of UK£6.01m due within 12 months and liabilities of UK£48.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£608.0k and UK£1.83m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£52.3m.
Of course, Mountview Estates has a market capitalization of UK£446.4m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Mountview Estates's net debt is only 1.4 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 45.6 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On the other hand, Mountview Estates saw its EBIT drop by 8.6% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Mountview Estates will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Mountview Estates created free cash flow amounting to 19% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
On our analysis Mountview Estates's interest cover should signal that it won't have too much trouble with its debt. But the other factors we noted above weren't so encouraging. For example, its EBIT growth rate makes us a little nervous about its debt. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Mountview Estates's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Mountview Estates you should know about.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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About LSE:MTVW
Mountview Estates
Engages in the property trading and investment business in the United Kingdom.
Adequate balance sheet average dividend payer.