Great Portland Estates Plc

LSE:GPE Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£991.7m

Great Portland Estates Valuation

Is GPE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of GPE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: GPE (£3.92) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£0.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: GPE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for GPE?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

GPE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue21.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA347.6x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does GPE's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for GPE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.6x
WKP Workspace Group
5.2x-10.2%UK£954.1m
GWI Globalworth Real Estate Investments
2.5xn/a€607.7m
DLN Derwent London
8.6x-2.2%UK£2.3b
CLI CLS Holdings
2.2x1.3%UK£329.9m
GPE Great Portland Estates
12.3x6.3%UK£991.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: GPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.3x) compared to the peer average (4.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does GPE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Office REITs Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a94.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a94.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: GPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.3x) compared to the European Office REITs industry average (8.1x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is GPE's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

GPE PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio12.3x
Fair PS Ratio6.4x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: GPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (12.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (6.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst GPE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£3.92
UK£4.41
+12.5%
13.8%UK£5.10UK£2.94n/a17
Apr ’25UK£3.88
UK£4.45
+14.8%
13.7%UK£5.25UK£2.94n/a17
Mar ’25UK£3.68
UK£4.44
+20.6%
13.9%UK£5.25UK£2.94n/a17
Feb ’25UK£4.05
UK£4.52
+11.6%
14.4%UK£5.25UK£2.94n/a17
Jan ’25UK£4.20
UK£4.57
+8.8%
15.9%UK£5.76UK£2.94n/a15
Dec ’24UK£4.00
UK£4.69
+17.2%
20.3%UK£6.75UK£2.94n/a14
Nov ’24UK£3.95
UK£4.93
+24.8%
20.9%UK£6.75UK£2.94n/a15
Oct ’24UK£4.18
UK£5.26
+25.8%
17.0%UK£6.75UK£3.87n/a16
Sep ’24UK£4.13
UK£5.54
+34.3%
17.5%UK£7.06UK£3.60n/a16
Aug ’24UK£4.24
UK£5.59
+32.0%
15.9%UK£7.06UK£4.24n/a16
Jul ’24UK£4.15
UK£5.74
+38.3%
13.4%UK£7.06UK£4.40n/a16
Jun ’24UK£4.82
UK£5.77
+19.7%
12.5%UK£7.06UK£4.50n/a17
May ’24UK£5.34
UK£5.80
+8.7%
12.3%UK£7.06UK£4.50UK£3.9218
Apr ’24UK£5.07
UK£5.80
+14.4%
12.3%UK£7.06UK£4.50UK£3.8818
Mar ’24UK£5.63
UK£5.78
+2.8%
12.3%UK£7.06UK£4.50UK£3.6818
Feb ’24UK£5.69
UK£5.65
-0.6%
11.1%UK£7.06UK£4.50UK£4.0518
Jan ’24UK£4.95
UK£5.58
+12.8%
10.6%UK£7.06UK£4.60UK£4.2018
Dec ’23UK£5.03
UK£5.60
+11.4%
11.5%UK£7.06UK£4.60UK£4.0016
Nov ’23UK£5.26
UK£5.75
+9.4%
15.7%UK£7.35UK£4.20UK£3.9517
Oct ’23UK£4.40
UK£6.18
+40.4%
17.9%UK£8.67UK£4.60UK£4.1817
Sep ’23UK£4.99
UK£6.84
+37.0%
18.2%UK£9.00UK£4.60UK£4.1317
Aug ’23UK£6.11
UK£7.08
+15.9%
15.8%UK£9.00UK£4.85UK£4.2417
Jul ’23UK£5.64
UK£7.48
+32.6%
13.2%UK£9.21UK£6.00UK£4.1517
Jun ’23UK£6.50
UK£7.61
+17.1%
12.2%UK£9.21UK£6.00UK£4.8217
May ’23UK£6.85
UK£7.84
+14.6%
11.8%UK£9.21UK£6.00UK£5.3416

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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