Stock Analysis

We Think CLS Holdings (LON:CLI) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

LSE:CLI
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, CLS Holdings plc (LON:CLI) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for CLS Holdings

What Is CLS Holdings's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 CLS Holdings had UK£976.3m of debt, an increase on UK£895.8m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of UK£235.7m, its net debt is less, at about UK£740.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:CLI Debt to Equity History May 6th 2021

How Strong Is CLS Holdings' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, CLS Holdings had liabilities of UK£158.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£1.03b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£235.7m as well as receivables valued at UK£13.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£941.2m.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of UK£985.9m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on CLS Holdings' use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

CLS Holdings has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.6 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 3.1 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that CLS Holdings's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CLS Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, CLS Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 61% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say CLS Holdings's net debt to EBITDA was disappointing. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making CLS Holdings stock a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for CLS Holdings (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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