alstria office REIT-AG Valuation

Is 0O9Q undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0O9Q when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0O9Q (€7) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€7.23)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0O9Q is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0O9Q?

Key metric: As 0O9Q is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0O9Q. This is calculated by dividing 0O9Q's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0O9Q's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.2x
Sales€240.21m
Market Cap€1.25b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0O9Q's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0O9Q vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.4x
WKP Workspace Group
5.6x-1.9%UK£1.0b
GPE Great Portland Estates
8.1x1.7%UK£1.2b
GWI Globalworth Real Estate Investments
3.2xn/a€746.8m
DLN Derwent London
8.5x-1.4%UK£2.4b
0O9Q alstria office REIT-AG
5.2x-1.5%€1.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0O9Q is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.2x) compared to the peer average (6.4x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0O9Q's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Office REITs Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0O9Q 5.2xIndustry Avg. 8.3xNo. of Companies4PS0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0O9Q is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.2x) compared to the European Office REITs industry average (8.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0O9Q's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0O9Q PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.2x
Fair PS Ratio4.7x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0O9Q is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.7x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0O9Q forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.00
€7.30
+4.3%
2.7%€7.50€7.10n/a2
Nov ’25€6.74
€5.45
-19.1%
37.6%€7.50€3.40n/a2
Oct ’25€5.96
€5.45
-8.6%
37.6%€7.50€3.40n/a2
Sep ’25€3.52
€5.55
+57.7%
35.1%€7.50€3.60n/a2
Aug ’25€3.52
€5.55
+57.7%
35.1%€7.50€3.60n/a2
Jul ’25€3.38
€5.55
+64.2%
35.1%€7.50€3.60n/a2
Jun ’25€3.57
€5.55
+55.5%
35.1%€7.50€3.60n/a2
May ’25€3.65
€5.55
+52.1%
35.1%€7.50€3.60n/a2
Apr ’25€3.30
€5.55
+68.2%
35.1%€7.50€3.60n/a2
Mar ’25€3.64
€5.55
+52.5%
35.1%€7.50€3.60n/a2
Feb ’25€3.55
€5.55
+56.6%
35.1%€7.50€3.60n/a2
Jan ’25€3.66
€5.55
+51.8%
35.1%€7.50€3.60n/a2
Dec ’24€4.65
€5.55
+19.4%
35.1%€7.50€3.60n/a2
Nov ’24€3.50
€7.45
+112.6%
0.7%€7.50€7.40€6.742
Oct ’24€3.69
€7.45
+101.9%
0.7%€7.50€7.40€5.962
Sep ’24€4.75
€7.45
+56.8%
0.7%€7.50€7.40€3.522
Aug ’24€4.97
€13.70
+175.4%
46.0%€20.00€7.40€3.522
Jul ’24€4.99
€13.70
+174.5%
46.0%€20.00€7.40€3.382
Jun ’24€5.02
€13.70
+172.9%
46.0%€20.00€7.40€3.572
May ’24€5.89
€14.75
+150.4%
35.6%€20.00€9.50€3.652
Apr ’24€6.11
€14.75
+141.5%
35.6%€20.00€9.50€3.302
Mar ’24€7.52
€15.00
+99.6%
28.7%€20.00€9.50€3.643
Feb ’24€7.61
€15.00
+97.2%
28.7%€20.00€9.50€3.553
Jan ’24€7.79
€15.00
+92.6%
28.7%€20.00€9.50€3.663
Dec ’23€7.31
€15.00
+105.3%
28.7%€20.00€9.50€4.653
Nov ’23€8.77
€16.03
+82.9%
19.0%€20.00€12.60€3.503

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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