Ventas Valuation

Is 0LO4 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0LO4 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0LO4 ($64.85) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($88.33)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0LO4 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0LO4?

Key metric: As 0LO4 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 0LO4. This is calculated by dividing 0LO4's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 0LO4's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.6x
SalesUS$4.80b
Market CapUS$27.08b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 0LO4's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 0LO4 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average7.2x
PHP Primary Health Properties
7.2x-0.4%UK£1.3b
AGR Assura
7.8x4.8%UK£1.3b
THRL Target Healthcare REIT
7.6x3.2%UK£527.8m
CRT Care REIT
6.5x6.0%UK£346.0m
0LO4 Ventas
5.6x7.4%US$27.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 0LO4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the peer average (7.2x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 0LO4's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Health Care REITs Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0LO4 5.6xIndustry Avg. 6.7xNo. of Companies6PS03.26.49.612.816+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 0LO4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the Global Health Care REITs industry average (6.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0LO4's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0LO4 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.6x
Fair PS Ratio10.3x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 0LO4 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (10.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0LO4 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$64.85
US$70.37
+8.5%
7.0%US$79.00US$55.00n/a19
Nov ’25US$64.30
US$67.74
+5.3%
7.6%US$76.00US$55.00n/a19
Oct ’25US$63.86
US$65.26
+2.2%
8.8%US$73.00US$55.00n/a19
Sep ’25US$61.70
US$61.68
-0.03%
7.9%US$70.00US$50.00n/a19
Aug ’25US$54.94
US$56.55
+2.9%
8.9%US$69.00US$49.00n/a19
Jul ’25US$50.87
US$54.56
+7.3%
8.8%US$69.00US$49.00n/a18
Jun ’25US$50.14
US$53.51
+6.7%
9.1%US$69.00US$49.00n/a18
May ’25US$44.37
US$52.42
+18.1%
11.0%US$70.00US$46.00n/a19
Apr ’25US$43.55
US$52.84
+21.3%
11.0%US$70.00US$46.00n/a19
Mar ’25US$43.80
US$53.05
+21.1%
11.1%US$72.00US$46.00n/a20
Feb ’25US$46.68
US$54.30
+16.3%
10.4%US$72.00US$47.00n/a20
Jan ’25US$50.17
US$52.63
+4.9%
11.2%US$72.00US$47.00n/a19
Dec ’24US$46.99
US$51.95
+10.6%
10.8%US$72.00US$47.00n/a19
Nov ’24US$42.18
US$52.16
+23.7%
16.7%US$80.00US$44.00US$64.3019
Oct ’24US$42.06
US$53.61
+27.5%
15.7%US$80.00US$47.00US$63.8618
Sep ’24US$43.74
US$52.28
+19.5%
9.5%US$68.00US$45.00US$61.7018
Aug ’24US$48.64
US$53.39
+9.8%
9.3%US$68.00US$45.00US$54.9418
Jul ’24US$46.96
US$54.44
+15.9%
14.4%US$80.00US$45.00US$50.8718
Jun ’24US$43.93
US$53.95
+22.8%
13.9%US$80.00US$45.00US$50.1420
May ’24US$46.90
US$53.71
+14.5%
14.1%US$80.00US$45.00US$44.3721
Apr ’24US$42.61
US$55.20
+29.6%
13.6%US$80.00US$45.00US$43.5520
Mar ’24US$46.90
US$55.05
+17.4%
13.8%US$80.00US$45.00US$43.8021
Feb ’24US$51.17
US$54.20
+5.9%
14.3%US$80.00US$45.00US$46.6822
Jan ’24US$44.87
US$52.89
+17.9%
15.8%US$80.00US$45.00US$50.1722
Dec ’23US$46.57
US$53.20
+14.3%
16.2%US$80.00US$45.00US$46.9922
Nov ’23US$38.55
US$54.70
+41.9%
18.2%US$80.00US$38.00US$42.1822

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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